Matchup Machine

Yandy Diaz

Worst 2% of matchups for P. Sandoval

Patrick Sandoval

Best 4% of matchups for Yandy Diaz

Extreme advantage for Diaz

+10

Model Prediction
Prediction	3.4%	4.3%	16.6%	16.4%	19.3%
MLB (+/-)	+0.6	+0.1	+2.7	+6.7	-6.0
Diaz	+0.7	+0.3	+0.2	+3.7	-0.7
Sandoval	+0.2	-0.3	+2.8	+4.5	-5.3

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

3.4%

4.3%

16.6%

16.4%

19.3%

MLB (+/-)

+0.6

+0.1

+2.7

+6.7

-6.0

Diaz

+0.7

+0.3

+0.2

+3.7

-0.7

Sandoval

+0.2

-0.3

+2.8

+4.5

-5.3

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	13	11	3	0	1	2	1	2	.273
Expected From Contact →			3.19	0.01	0.75	2.44			.290

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-19	Double		40%	6%	53%
2023-09-19	Walk
2023-09-19	Single			53%	46%
2023-08-19	Groundout			37%	62%
2023-08-19	Groundout		5%	4%	91%
2023-08-19	Walk
2022-08-25	Flyout				100%
2022-08-25	Lineout		27%	23%	50%
2022-08-25	Fielders Choice			55%	45%
2021-06-27	Strikeout
2021-06-27	Pop Out				99%
2021-06-27	Groundout			9%	91%
2021-05-03	Single			56%	44%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	46%	103	RHB vs LHP	29	83%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

46%

103

RHB vs LHP

83%

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	22%	105	Breaking	38	38%
	42%	67	Fastball	43	36%
⭐	10%	77	Offspeed	-9	26%
			------------------
⭐⭐	49%	101	Slider	17	28%
⭐⭐	51%	86	Changeup	4	26%
	43%	69	Four-Seam FB	35	25%
	41%	25	Sinker	64	11%
	44%	101	Curveball	64	9%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

22%

105

Breaking

38%

42%

Fastball

36%

⭐

10%

Offspeed

-9

26%

------------------

⭐⭐

49%

101

Slider

28%

⭐⭐

51%

Changeup

26%

43%

Four-Seam FB

25%

41%

Sinker

11%

44%

101

Curveball

	Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	68%	111	Bottom of zone	42	14%
⭐	74%	111	Away / Arm Side	51	12%
	70%	47	Top of zone	43	10%
	54%	63	In / Glove Side	44	10%
	89%	20	Middle	-13	6%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

68%

111

Bottom of zone

14%

⭐

74%

111

Away / Arm Side

12%

70%

Top of zone

10%

54%

In / Glove Side

10%

89%

Middle

-13

Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
31%	63	Below the zone	42	37%
31%	41	Away / Arm Side	15	28%
23%	13	Above the zone	28	21%
23%	30	In / Glove Side	50	21%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

31%

Below the zone

37%

31%

Away / Arm Side

28%

23%

Above the zone

21%

23%

In / Glove Side

21%

	Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	61%	89	2 Strikes	2	29%
⭐⭐	53%	101	Batter Behind	22	29%
⭐⭐	47%	98	Batter Ahead	25	28%
	24%	17	First Pitch	75	25%	⭐
	55%	68	3 Balls	34	8%
	70%	54	Full Count	7	5%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

61%

2 Strikes

29%

⭐⭐

53%

101

Batter Behind

29%

⭐⭐

47%

Batter Ahead

28%

24%

First Pitch

25%

⭐

55%

3 Balls

70%

Full Count