Matchup Machine

Gleyber Torres

Worst 6% of matchups for Yusei Kikuchi

Yusei Kikuchi

Best 39% of matchups for Gleyber Torres

Strong advantage for Torres

Model Prediction
Prediction	3.1%	4.8%	15.6%	9.6%	22.3%
MLB (+/-)	+0.3	+0.5	+1.6	-0.1	-3.0
Torres	+0.4	+0.1	+1.3	-0.5	+2.0
Kikuchi	+0.2	+0.5	+0.6	+1.5	-6.9

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

3.1%

4.8%

15.6%

9.6%

22.3%

MLB (+/-)

+0.3

+0.5

+1.6

-0.1

-3.0

Torres

+0.4

+0.1

+1.3

-0.5

+2.0

Kikuchi

+0.2

+0.5

+0.6

+1.5

-6.9

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	18	17	7	1	2	4	1	1	.412
Expected From Contact →			7.02	1.91	1.68	3.42			.413

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-19	GIDP			16%	84%
2023-09-19	Double		52%	5%	43%
2023-04-21	Groundout			29%	71%
2023-04-21	Pop Out				99%
2023-04-21	Walk
2022-08-18	Flyout		7%	2%	91%
2022-06-19	Single		3%	71%	26%
2022-06-19	Pickoff 1B
2022-06-19	Home Run	91%	6%		2%
2022-05-10	Flyout	78%			21%
2022-05-10	Lineout		3%	4%	94%
2022-04-12	Strikeout
2022-04-12	Single		5%	69%	26%
2021-08-08	Single		2%	74%	24%
2021-08-08	Double	3%	35%	34%	29%
2021-07-07	Flyout	18%	13%		68%
2021-07-07	Single		40%	29%	31%
2021-07-07	Groundout			10%	89%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	47%	97	RHB vs LHP	87	79%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

47%

RHB vs LHP

79%

Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
33%	62	Breaking	69	45%
54%	74	Fastball	91	45%
9%	63	Offspeed	50	10%
		------------------
55%	79	Four-Seam FB	69	45%
48%	66	Slider	38	27%
36%	41	Curveball	82	18%	⭐
47%	65	Changeup	44	10%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

33%

Breaking

45%

54%

Fastball

45%

Offspeed

10%

------------------

55%

Four-Seam FB

45%

48%

Slider

27%

36%

Curveball

18%

⭐

47%

Changeup

10%

	Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
	63%	40	Bottom of zone	70	14%
	62%	67	Away / Arm Side	100	11%
	77%	69	Top of zone	77	10%
	60%	60	In / Glove Side	68	10%
⭐⭐	74%	100	Middle	36	6%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

63%

Bottom of zone

14%

62%

Away / Arm Side

100

11%

77%

Top of zone

10%

60%

In / Glove Side

10%

⭐⭐

74%

100

Middle

Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
36%	58	Below the zone	90	35%
23%	34	Away / Arm Side	54	27%
42%	52	In / Glove Side	118	24%	⭐⭐
42%	76	Above the zone	74	23%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

36%

Below the zone

35%

23%

Away / Arm Side

27%

42%

In / Glove Side

118

24%

⭐⭐

42%

Above the zone

23%

	Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
	64%	101	2 Strikes	69	30%
	52%	87	Batter Behind	79	30%
	49%	93	Batter Ahead	85	26%
	40%	39	First Pitch	83	25%	⭐
	60%	109	3 Balls	77	8%
⭐	81%	119	Full Count	59	5%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

64%

101

2 Strikes

30%

52%

Batter Behind

30%

49%

Batter Ahead

26%

40%

First Pitch

25%

⭐

60%

109

3 Balls

⭐

81%

119

Full Count