Matchup Machine

Tim Anderson

Worst 14% of matchups for J. Rutledge

Jackson Rutledge

Best 25% of matchups for Tim Anderson

Strong advantage for Anderson

Model Prediction
Prediction	1.9%	5.5%	17.3%	7.2%	16.5%
MLB (+/-)	-0.9	+1.3	+3.3	-2.5	-8.7
Anderson	+0.2	+0.8	-0.0	-0.2	-6.8
Rutledge	-1.0	+1.0	+4.0	-1.7	-4.3

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

1.9%

5.5%

17.3%

7.2%

16.5%

MLB (+/-)

-0.9

+1.3

+3.3

-2.5

-8.7

Anderson

+0.2

+0.8

-0.0

-0.2

-6.8

Rutledge

-1.0

+1.0

+4.0

-1.7

-4.3

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	.500
Expected From Contact →			0.75	0.00	0.01	0.74			.374

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-19	Walk
2023-09-19	Single			69%	31%
2023-09-19	Groundout			5%	94%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	55%	12	RHB vs RHP	51	48%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

55%

RHB vs RHP

48%

Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
53%	7	Fastball	66	59%	⭐
35%	27	Breaking	33	27%
14%	16	Offspeed	58	14%
		------------------
53%	13	Four-Seam FB	49	43%
59%	16	Slider	30	22%
50%	39	Sinker	90	16%	⭐
63%	7	Changeup	57	14%
59%	50	Curveball	32	5%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

53%

Fastball

59%

⭐

35%

Breaking

27%

14%

Offspeed

14%

------------------

53%

Four-Seam FB

43%

59%

Slider

22%

50%

Sinker

16%

⭐

63%

Changeup

14%

59%

Curveball

Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
72%	-6	Away / Glove Side	55	16%
70%	3	Bottom of zone	92	14%	⭐⭐
71%	41	Top of zone	43	13%
69%	25	In / Arm Side	82	10%	⭐
79%	24	Middle	78	8%	⭐

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

72%

-6

Away / Glove Side

16%

70%

Bottom of zone

14%

⭐⭐

71%

Top of zone

13%

69%

In / Arm Side

10%

⭐

79%

Middle

⭐

	Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
⭐	44%	67	Away / Glove Side	16	32%
	32%	11	Above the zone	33	27%
	54%	51	Below the zone	12	25%
	35%	10	In / Arm Side	10	15%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

⭐

44%

Away / Glove Side

32%

Above the zone

27%

54%

Below the zone

25%

35%

In / Arm Side

15%

Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
67%	11	Batter Ahead	64	41%	⭐
67%	-2	2 Strikes	56	29%
33%	52	First Pitch	43	25%
59%	7	Batter Behind	50	20%
70%	51	3 Balls	78	17%
80%	37	Full Count	70	12%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

67%

Batter Ahead

41%

⭐

67%

-2

2 Strikes

29%

33%

First Pitch

25%

59%

Batter Behind

20%

70%

3 Balls

17%

80%

Full Count

12%