Matchup Machine

Anthony Santander

Worst 12% of matchups for Hunter Brown

Hunter Brown

Best 19% of matchups for A. Santander

Strong advantage for Santander

Model Prediction
Prediction	5.2%	4.1%	11.0%	12.4%	25.0%
MLB (+/-)	+2.4	-0.1	-3.0	+2.6	-0.3
Santander	+1.0	+0.0	-1.2	+2.5	+1.6
Brown	+1.7	-0.3	-2.0	+1.1	-1.9

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

5.2%

4.1%

11.0%

12.4%

25.0%

MLB (+/-)

+2.4

-0.1

-3.0

+2.6

-0.3

Santander

+1.0

+0.0

-1.2

+2.5

+1.6

Brown

+1.7

-0.3

-2.0

+1.1

-1.9

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	6	6	2	0	1	1	2	0	.333
Expected From Contact →			1.48	0.15	0.48	0.85			.247

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-19	Double		36%	43%	21%
2023-09-19	Strikeout
2023-09-19	Single		2%	40%	58%
2023-08-10	Pop Out				99%
2023-08-10	Flyout	15%	10%	1%	73%
2023-08-10	Strikeout

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	53%	54	LHB vs RHP	58	49%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

53%

LHB vs RHP

49%

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
	28%	32	Breaking	56	50%
	48%	36	Fastball	74	46%
	16%	102	Offspeed	66	4%
			------------------
	45%	69	Four-Seam FB	52	46%
	61%	43	Knuckle-Curve	105	25%	⭐⭐
	62%	20	Slider	26	24%
⭐⭐	57%	101	Splitter	21	4%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

28%

Breaking

50%

48%

Fastball

46%

16%

102

Offspeed

------------------

45%

Four-Seam FB

46%

61%

Knuckle-Curve

105

25%

⭐⭐

62%

Slider

24%

⭐⭐

57%

101

Splitter

Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
74%	54	Top of zone	75	13%
65%	16	Bottom of zone	57	12%
64%	29	Away / Arm Side	53	11%
80%	29	In / Glove Side	63	10%
72%	30	Middle	59	5%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

74%

Top of zone

13%

65%

Bottom of zone

12%

64%

Away / Arm Side

11%

80%

In / Glove Side

10%

72%

Middle

	Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
	50%	108	Below the zone	87	32%
	34%	20	Above the zone	44	26%
⭐	36%	103	Away / Arm Side	43	24%
	50%	-82	In / Glove Side	82	23%	⭐⭐

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

50%

108

Below the zone

32%

34%

Above the zone

26%

⭐

36%

103

Away / Arm Side

24%

50%

-82

In / Glove Side

23%

⭐⭐

Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
66%	100	2 Strikes	60	32%
52%	-5	Batter Ahead	47	29%
56%	62	Batter Behind	76	28%
35%	20	First Pitch	76	24%	⭐
71%	5	3 Balls	46	10%
80%	40	Full Count	46	6%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

66%

100

2 Strikes

32%

52%

-5

Batter Ahead

29%

56%

Batter Behind

28%

35%

First Pitch

24%

⭐

71%

3 Balls

10%

80%

Full Count