Matchup Machine

Corey Seager

Worst 1% of matchups for Tanner Houck

Tanner Houck

Worst 35% of matchups for Corey Seager

Extreme advantage for Seager

+10

Model Prediction
Prediction	5.1%	5.2%	13.8%	10.0%	16.8%
MLB (+/-)	+2.3	+0.9	-0.2	+0.2	-8.5
Seager	-0.5	+0.0	-1.7	+1.4	-2.5
Houck	+2.2	+0.9	+1.3	-0.6	-6.4

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

5.1%

5.2%

13.8%

10.0%

16.8%

MLB (+/-)

+2.3

+0.9

-0.2

+0.2

-8.5

Seager

-0.5

+0.0

-1.7

+1.4

-2.5

Houck

+2.2

+0.9

+1.3

-0.6

-6.4

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	.000
Expected From Contact →			0.07	0.00	0.04	0.02			.023

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-19	Groundout		4%	2%	94%
2023-09-19	Strikeout
2022-05-15	Flyout				99%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	59%	125	LHB vs RHP	51	53%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

59%

125

LHB vs RHP

53%

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	59%	125	Fastball	29	51%
	41%	105	Breaking	69	38%
	21%	125	Offspeed	93	11%
			------------------
	61%	88	Slider	70	38%
⭐⭐	60%	125	Sinker	55	29%
	60%	78	Cutter	62	12%
	58%	116	Splitter	100	11%
⭐⭐	58%	122	Four-Seam FB	27	10%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

59%

125

Fastball

51%

41%

105

Breaking

38%

21%

125

Offspeed

11%

------------------

61%

Slider

38%

⭐⭐

60%

125

Sinker

29%

60%

Cutter

12%

58%

116

Splitter

100

11%

⭐⭐

58%

122

Four-Seam FB

10%

	Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
⭐	82%	100	Bottom of zone	55	15%
⭐⭐	87%	117	Away / Arm Side	26	11%
⭐⭐	89%	125	Top of zone	39	8%
⭐	83%	116	In / Glove Side	61	7%
⭐⭐	93%	111	Middle	41	5%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

⭐

82%

100

Bottom of zone

15%

⭐⭐

87%

117

Away / Arm Side

11%

⭐⭐

89%

125

Top of zone

⭐

83%

116

In / Glove Side

⭐⭐

93%

111

Middle

Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
46%	27	Below the zone	79	43%	⭐
33%	66	Away / Arm Side	27	31%
42%	72	In / Glove Side	93	23%
37%	49	Above the zone	7	14%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

46%

Below the zone

43%

⭐

33%

Away / Arm Side

31%

42%

In / Glove Side

23%

37%

Above the zone

14%

	Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
⭐	55%	107	Batter Behind	51	29%
	60%	74	2 Strikes	54	28%
⭐⭐	66%	118	Batter Ahead	45	27%
⭐⭐	58%	113	First Pitch	41	27%
	68%	83	3 Balls	43	8%
⭐	69%	86	Full Count	43	5%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

⭐

55%

107

Batter Behind

29%

60%

2 Strikes

28%

⭐⭐

66%

118

Batter Ahead

27%

⭐⭐

58%

113

First Pitch

27%

68%

3 Balls

⭐

69%

Full Count