Matchup Machine

Ramon Urias

Best 49% of matchups for Hunter Brown

Hunter Brown

Best 49% of matchups for Ramon Urias

Leans in favor of Brown

- 2

Model Prediction
Prediction	2.0%	4.6%	15.1%	7.8%	25.0%
MLB (+/-)	-0.8	+0.3	+1.2	-1.9	-0.2
Urias	+0.3	+0.2	-0.9	+0.6	+0.2
Brown	-1.3	+0.3	+2.6	-2.9	-0.9

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

2.0%

4.6%

15.1%

7.8%

25.0%

MLB (+/-)

-0.8

+0.3

+1.2

-1.9

-0.2

Urias

+0.3

+0.2

-0.9

+0.6

+0.2

Brown

-1.3

+0.3

+2.6

-2.9

-0.9

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	2	0	1	1	0	0	.667
Expected From Contact →			1.73	0.43	0.32	0.98			.575

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-08-10	Groundout		12%	7%	81%
2023-08-10	Triple	43%	20%		37%
2022-09-24	Single			90%	9%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	53%	25	RHB vs RHP	77	51%	⭐

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

53%

RHB vs RHP

51%

⭐

Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
25%	37	Breaking	56	50%
53%	34	Fastball	74	46%
13%	-3	Offspeed	66	4%	⭐
		------------------
52%	31	Four-Seam FB	52	46%
45%	17	Knuckle-Curve	105	25%	⭐⭐
45%	32	Slider	26	24%
73%	33	Splitter	23	4%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

25%

Breaking

50%

53%

Fastball

46%

13%

-3

Offspeed

⭐

------------------

52%

Four-Seam FB

46%

45%

Knuckle-Curve

105

25%

⭐⭐

45%

Slider

24%

73%

Splitter

Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
75%	19	Top of zone	77	13%	⭐
62%	20	Away / Glove Side	64	12%	⭐
65%	-7	Bottom of zone	56	12%
73%	22	In / Arm Side	88	8%	⭐⭐
76%	15	Middle	54	6%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

75%

Top of zone

13%

⭐

62%

Away / Glove Side

12%

⭐

65%

-7

Bottom of zone

12%

73%

In / Arm Side

⭐⭐

76%

Middle

Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
39%	55	Below the zone	87	32%
34%	61	Away / Glove Side	76	30%
41%	64	Above the zone	44	26%
41%	14	In / Arm Side	14	16%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

39%

Below the zone

32%

34%

Away / Glove Side

30%

41%

Above the zone

26%

41%

In / Arm Side

16%

Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
64%	28	2 Strikes	60	32%
50%	64	Batter Ahead	47	29%
57%	16	Batter Behind	76	28%	⭐
39%	19	First Pitch	76	24%	⭐
54%	22	3 Balls	46	10%
69%	23	Full Count	46	6%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

64%

2 Strikes

32%

50%

Batter Ahead

29%

57%

Batter Behind

28%

⭐

39%

First Pitch

24%

⭐

54%

3 Balls

10%

69%

Full Count