Matchup Machine

Francisco Lindor

Worst 7% of matchups for Braxton Garrett

Braxton Garrett

Best 24% of matchups for F. Lindor

Strong advantage for Lindor

Model Prediction
Prediction	3.9%	5.8%	14.0%	6.6%	15.7%
MLB (+/-)	+1.1	+1.6	+0.1	-3.1	-9.5
Lindor	+0.3	+1.1	+1.4	-2.7	-4.0
Garrett	+1.3	+0.9	-2.1	-0.4	-5.1

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

3.9%

5.8%

14.0%

6.6%

15.7%

MLB (+/-)

+1.1

+1.6

+0.1

-3.1

-9.5

Lindor

+0.3

+1.1

+1.4

-2.7

-4.0

Garrett

+1.3

+0.9

-2.1

-0.4

-5.1

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	12	12	4	2	1	1	3	0	.333
Expected From Contact →			3.86	1.99	1.17	0.69			.321

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-19	Fielders Choice Out			2%	98%
2023-09-19	Flyout				99%
2023-09-19	Single			26%	74%
2023-04-09	Strikeout
2023-04-09	Strikeout
2023-04-09	Groundout		28%	7%	65%
2023-04-09	Strikeout
2023-04-01	Double	13%	80%	5%	2%
2022-07-09	Flyout		2%		97%
2022-07-09	Home Run	99%
2022-07-09	Strikeout
2022-06-18	Home Run	86%	7%		7%
2022-06-18	Groundout			28%	72%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	50%	100	RHB vs LHP	8	77%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

50%

100

RHB vs LHP

77%

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
	49%	40	Fastball	3	56%
	29%	52	Breaking	55	35%
	13%	68	Offspeed	48	9%
			------------------
⭐⭐	44%	85	Sinker	13	31%
	56%	59	Slider	63	26%
	58%	-1	Cutter	11	16%
⭐	49%	88	Changeup	40	9%
	53%	1	Curveball	32	9%
	49%	31	Four-Seam FB	27	9%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

49%

Fastball

56%

29%

Breaking

35%

13%

Offspeed

------------------

⭐⭐

44%

Sinker

31%

56%

Slider

26%

58%

-1

Cutter

16%

⭐

49%

Changeup

53%

Curveball

49%

Four-Seam FB

	Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
⭐	69%	79	Bottom of zone	-28	16%
⭐⭐	70%	115	In / Glove Side	-27	12%
	67%	39	Away / Arm Side	-12	10%
	72%	34	Top of zone	3	9%
⭐⭐	67%	90	Middle	-13	5%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

⭐

69%

Bottom of zone

-28

16%

⭐⭐

70%

115

In / Glove Side

-27

12%

67%

Away / Arm Side

-12

10%

72%

Top of zone

⭐⭐

67%

Middle

-13

Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
47%	43	Below the zone	79	41%
39%	-3	In / Glove Side	125	31%	⭐⭐
27%	24	Away / Arm Side	18	17%
30%	19	Above the zone	38	14%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

47%

Below the zone

41%

39%

-3

In / Glove Side

125

31%

⭐⭐

27%

Away / Arm Side

17%

30%

Above the zone

14%

Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
63%	62	Batter Behind	32	32%
69%	35	2 Strikes	23	30%
28%	21	First Pitch	8	26%
54%	49	Batter Ahead	0	23%
65%	10	3 Balls	28	6%
76%	29	Full Count	6	4%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

63%

Batter Behind

32%

69%

2 Strikes

30%

28%

First Pitch

26%

54%

Batter Ahead

23%

65%

3 Balls

76%

Full Count