Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Worst 9% of matchups for Zac Gallen

Best 44% of matchups for M. Yastrzemski

Model Prediction
Prediction	4.1%	4.2%	13.0%	11.9%	25.0%
MLB (+/-)	+1.3	-0.1	-1.0	+2.2	-0.2
Yastrzemski	+0.6	+0.3	+0.9	-2.0	-0.9
Gallen	+0.8	-0.2	-1.3	+3.8	-1.2

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	17	15	5	0	3	2	4	2	.333
Expected From Contact →			3.46	0.02	1.35	2.10			.231

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-19	GIDP				99%
2023-09-19	Sac Fly		2%		98%
2023-09-19	Walk
2022-08-18	Strikeout
2022-08-18	Strikeout
2022-07-27	Strikeout
2022-07-27	Lineout	2%	24%	8%	66%
2022-07-13	Walk
2022-07-13	Groundout			22%	78%
2022-07-13	Double		25%	15%	60%
2021-08-10	Strikeout
2021-08-10	Single			49%	51%
2021-08-10	Double		25%	69%	6%
2021-07-02	Single			7%	93%
2021-07-02	Bunt Pop Out
2021-06-17	Groundout		1%	24%	74%
2021-06-17	Double		58%	15%	28%
2020-09-07	Single			63%	36%
2020-09-07	Strikeout
2020-09-07	Single		1%	89%	10%
2020-08-28	Groundout			1%	98%
2020-08-28	Hit By Pitch
2020-08-28	Groundout			68%	32%
2020-08-22	Strikeout
2020-08-22	Walk
2020-08-22	Strikeout

Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
40%	78	Fastball	84	62%
22%	32	Breaking	61	24%
13%	73	Offspeed	95	14%
		------------------
40%	93	Four-Seam FB	66	49%
50%	19	Knuckle-Curve	113	23%	⭐⭐
51%	54	Changeup	98	14%	⭐
40%	63	Cutter	62	13%

Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
59%	53	Bottom of zone	70	13%
55%	18	Away / Arm Side	79	11%	⭐
66%	50	Top of zone	64	10%
73%	55	In / Glove Side	47	8%
74%	74	Middle	48	4%

Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
38%	84	Below the zone	96	41%
23%	81	Away / Arm Side	107	26%
29%	54	In / Glove Side	70	25%
23%	54	Above the zone	84	19%

Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
61%	36	2 Strikes	96	31%	⭐
51%	67	Batter Behind	91	31%
23%	42	First Pitch	78	26%
47%	72	Batter Ahead	95	24%
56%	33	3 Balls	107	7%	⭐⭐
67%	12	Full Count	103	5%	⭐⭐

Model Prediction
	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	4.1%	4.2%	13.0%	11.9%	25.0%
MLB (+/-)	+1.3	-0.1	-1.0	+2.2	-0.2
Yastrzemski	+0.6	+0.3	+0.9	-2.0	-0.9
Gallen	+0.8	-0.2	-1.3	+3.8	-1.2