Matchup Machine

Jon Singleton

Worst 48% of matchups for Kyle Gibson

Kyle Gibson

Best 30% of matchups for Jon Singleton

Moderate advantage for Singleton

Model Prediction
Prediction	3.0%	4.0%	15.8%	7.7%	20.4%
MLB (+/-)	+0.2	-0.3	+1.8	-2.0	-4.8
Singleton	+0.4	+0.1	+1.9	-1.9	-3.9
Gibson	-0.3	-0.8	+0.4	-0.5	-1.1

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

3.0%

4.0%

15.8%

7.7%

20.4%

MLB (+/-)

+0.2

-0.3

+1.8

-2.0

-4.8

Singleton

+0.4

+0.1

+1.9

-1.9

-3.9

Gibson

-0.3

-0.8

+0.4

-0.5

-1.1

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0	.000
Expected From Contact →			0.48	0.00	0.10	0.38			.159

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-06-06	Strikeout
2023-06-06	Strikeout
2023-06-06	Lineout		10%	38%	52%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	45%	19	LHB vs RHP	12	48%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

45%

LHB vs RHP

48%

Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
43%	56	Fastball	16	56%
24%	24	Breaking	56	27%
11%	24	Offspeed	43	17%
		------------------
44%	61	Sinker	29	26%
52%	27	Slider	58	19%
40%	30	Cutter	21	18%
44%	23	Changeup	38	17%
43%	54	Four-Seam FB	30	12%
55%	21	Curveball	48	8%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

43%

Fastball

56%

24%

Breaking

27%

11%

Offspeed

17%

------------------

44%

Sinker

26%

52%

Slider

19%

40%

Cutter

18%

44%

Changeup

17%

43%

Four-Seam FB

12%

55%

Curveball

Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
62%	22	Bottom of zone	19	14%
65%	47	Away / Arm Side	-4	11%
53%	26	In / Glove Side	22	10%
66%	24	Top of zone	21	9%
87%	42	Middle	33	4%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

62%

Bottom of zone

14%

65%

Away / Arm Side

-4

11%

53%

In / Glove Side

10%

66%

Top of zone

87%

Middle

Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
34%	31	Below the zone	50	44%
37%	0	In / Glove Side	37	26%
19%	55	Away / Arm Side	52	24%
36%	25	Above the zone	24	16%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

34%

Below the zone

44%

37%

In / Glove Side

26%

19%

Away / Arm Side

24%

36%

Above the zone

16%

	Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
⭐	53%	62	Batter Ahead	2	28%
	55%	27	2 Strikes	37	27%
	49%	36	Batter Behind	56	26%
	26%	32	First Pitch	24	26%
	59%	50	3 Balls	0	8%
	65%	40	Full Count	-20	5%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

⭐

53%

Batter Ahead

28%

55%

2 Strikes

27%

49%

Batter Behind

26%

First Pitch

26%

59%

3 Balls

65%

Full Count

-20