Matchup Machine

James McCann

Worst 31% of matchups for Hunter Brown

Hunter Brown

Best 34% of matchups for James McCann

Moderate advantage for McCann

Model Prediction
Prediction	3.5%	5.3%	13.6%	8.3%	26.2%
MLB (+/-)	+0.7	+1.0	-0.3	-1.4	+1.0
McCann	+0.5	+0.5	-0.9	+1.0	-1.0
Brown	+0.0	+1.0	+0.8	-2.5	+0.1

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

3.5%

5.3%

13.6%

8.3%

26.2%

MLB (+/-)

+0.7

+1.0

-0.3

-1.4

+1.0

McCann

+0.5

-0.9

+1.0

-1.0

Brown

+0.0

+1.0

+0.8

-2.5

+0.1

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	4	4	2	0	1	1	1	0	.500
Expected From Contact →			0.95	0.00	0.30	0.65			.237

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-19	Strikeout
2023-09-19	Hit By Pitch
2023-08-10	Double		26%	21%	54%
2023-08-10	Single		5%	44%	51%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	54%	36	RHB vs RHP	79	52%	⭐

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

54%

RHB vs RHP

52%

⭐

Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
34%	27	Breaking	56	50%
54%	52	Fastball	76	46%
13%	74	Offspeed	63	4%
		------------------
52%	47	Four-Seam FB	54	46%
52%	22	Knuckle-Curve	106	25%	⭐⭐
58%	12	Slider	23	24%
43%	34	Splitter	14	4%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

34%

Breaking

50%

54%

Fastball

46%

13%

Offspeed

------------------

52%

Four-Seam FB

46%

52%

Knuckle-Curve

106

25%

⭐⭐

58%

Slider

24%

43%

Splitter

Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
72%	22	Top of zone	74	13%	⭐
53%	24	Away / Glove Side	70	12%	⭐
65%	36	Bottom of zone	56	12%
70%	64	In / Arm Side	90	8%
65%	79	Middle	54	6%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

72%

Top of zone

13%

⭐

53%

Away / Glove Side

12%

⭐

65%

Bottom of zone

12%

70%

In / Arm Side

65%

Middle

Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
51%	7	Below the zone	86	32%	⭐⭐
42%	-6	Away / Glove Side	78	31%	⭐
45%	41	Above the zone	46	26%
51%	55	In / Arm Side	17	15%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

51%

Below the zone

32%

⭐⭐

42%

-6

Away / Glove Side

31%

⭐

45%

Above the zone

26%

51%

In / Arm Side

15%

Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
67%	30	2 Strikes	62	32%
61%	27	Batter Ahead	50	29%
60%	5	Batter Behind	75	28%	⭐
37%	88	First Pitch	76	24%
65%	45	3 Balls	51	10%
80%	31	Full Count	50	6%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

67%

2 Strikes

32%

61%

Batter Ahead

29%

60%

Batter Behind

28%

⭐

37%

First Pitch

24%

65%

3 Balls

10%

80%

Full Count