Matchup Machine

Salvador Perez

Best 39% of matchups for Logan Allen

Logan Allen

Worst 38% of matchups for Salvador Perez

Leans in favor of Allen

- 1

Model Prediction
Prediction	2.9%	4.4%	15.5%	5.1%	22.2%
MLB (+/-)	+0.1	+0.2	+1.6	-4.6	-3.0
Perez	-0.4	-0.4	+0.8	-0.2	-2.3
Allen	+0.0	+0.5	+0.6	-4.9	+0.9

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

2.9%

4.4%

15.5%

5.1%

22.2%

MLB (+/-)

+0.1

+0.2

+1.6

-4.6

-3.0

Perez

-0.4

+0.8

-0.2

-2.3

Allen

+0.0

+0.5

+0.6

-4.9

+0.9

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	5	5	1	1	0	0	3	0	.200
Expected From Contact →			1.18	0.95	0.06	0.17			.236

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-07-24	Strikeout
2023-07-24	Home Run	95%	4%
2023-07-24	Strikeout
2023-06-28	Strikeout
2023-06-28	Groundout		2%	17%	81%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	64%	6	RHB vs LHP	67	83%	⭐

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

64%

RHB vs LHP

83%

⭐

Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
61%	44	Fastball	78	54%
53%	48	Breaking	40	24%
14%	70	Offspeed	57	22%
		------------------
59%	30	Four-Seam FB	58	45%
66%	61	Slider	43	24%
67%	42	Changeup	55	20%
60%	70	Cutter	69	9%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

61%

Fastball

54%

53%

Breaking

24%

14%

Offspeed

22%

------------------

59%

Four-Seam FB

45%

66%

Slider

24%

67%

Changeup

20%

60%

Cutter

Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
78%	16	Bottom of zone	62	13%	⭐
78%	26	Away / Arm Side	98	13%	⭐⭐
79%	57	Top of zone	84	12%
83%	-12	In / Glove Side	67	8%	⭐
69%	2	Middle	40	5%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

78%

Bottom of zone

13%

⭐

78%

Away / Arm Side

13%

⭐⭐

79%

Top of zone

12%

83%

-12

In / Glove Side

⭐

69%

Middle

	Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
⭐	57%	108	Below the zone	52	34%
⭐	56%	82	Away / Arm Side	23	28%
	52%	50	In / Glove Side	82	23%
	47%	24	Above the zone	58	23%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

⭐

57%

108

Below the zone

34%

⭐

56%

Away / Arm Side

28%

52%

In / Glove Side

23%

47%

Above the zone

23%

Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
71%	78	2 Strikes	53	30%
69%	87	Batter Behind	60	29%
71%	63	Batter Ahead	73	27%
43%	22	First Pitch	73	25%	⭐
79%	47	3 Balls	66	8%
84%	66	Full Count	57	5%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

71%

2 Strikes

30%

69%

Batter Behind

29%

71%

Batter Ahead

27%

43%

First Pitch

25%

⭐

79%

3 Balls

84%

Full Count