Matchup Machine

DJ LeMahieu

Worst 10% of matchups for Yusei Kikuchi

Yusei Kikuchi

Worst 46% of matchups for DJ LeMahieu

Moderate advantage for LeMahieu

Model Prediction
Prediction	2.2%	4.9%	16.3%	10.2%	23.9%
MLB (+/-)	-0.6	+0.7	+2.3	+0.5	-1.3
LeMahieu	+0.3	+0.2	+1.6	-1.9	+2.3
Kikuchi	-0.7	+0.6	+1.3	+2.2	-5.3

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

2.2%

4.9%

16.3%

10.2%

23.9%

MLB (+/-)

-0.6

+0.7

+2.3

+0.5

-1.3

LeMahieu

+0.3

+0.2

+1.6

-1.9

+2.3

Kikuchi

-0.7

+0.6

+1.3

+2.2

-5.3

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	22	20	6	0	2	4	4	2	.300
Expected From Contact →			4.65	0.65	0.95	3.05			.232

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-19	Walk
2023-09-19	Strikeout
2023-09-19	Single			40%	59%
2023-04-21	Caught Stealing 2B
2023-04-21	Groundout			3%	97%
2023-04-21	Groundout			5%	95%
2022-06-19	Groundout			26%	74%
2022-06-19	Lineout		7%	3%	90%
2022-05-10	Groundout		11%	15%	74%
2022-05-10	Strikeout
2022-05-10	Double	49%	37%	10%	4%
2022-05-04	Single			83%	17%
2022-05-04	Strikeout
2022-05-04	Groundout			11%	89%
2022-04-12	Double		24%	9%	66%
2022-04-12	Single			5%	95%
2021-08-08	Groundout			21%	78%
2021-08-08	Strikeout
2021-08-08	Single		11%	60%	29%
2021-07-07	Groundout			13%	87%
2021-07-07	Walk
2021-07-07	Flyout	15%	4%		81%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	35%	46	RHB vs LHP	88	79%	⭐

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

35%

RHB vs LHP

79%

⭐

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
	24%	78	Breaking	69	45%
	36%	11	Fastball	90	45%	⭐⭐
	6%	81	Offspeed	52	10%
			------------------
	36%	9	Four-Seam FB	69	45%	⭐
⭐	49%	79	Slider	37	27%
	48%	52	Curveball	80	18%
	44%	79	Changeup	45	10%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

24%

Breaking

45%

36%

Fastball

45%

⭐⭐

Offspeed

10%

------------------

36%

Four-Seam FB

45%

⭐

49%

Slider

27%

48%

Curveball

18%

44%

Changeup

10%

Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
46%	26	Bottom of zone	69	14%	⭐
37%	4	Away / Arm Side	100	11%	⭐⭐
60%	54	Top of zone	77	10%
54%	64	In / Glove Side	68	10%
68%	59	Middle	37	6%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

46%

Bottom of zone

14%

⭐

37%

Away / Arm Side

100

11%

⭐⭐

60%

Top of zone

10%

54%

In / Glove Side

10%

68%

Middle

Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
29%	64	Below the zone	90	35%
16%	31	Away / Arm Side	53	27%
28%	29	In / Glove Side	118	24%	⭐⭐
38%	15	Above the zone	74	23%	⭐

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

29%

Below the zone

35%

16%

Away / Arm Side

27%

28%

In / Glove Side

118

24%

⭐⭐

38%

Above the zone

23%

⭐

Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
52%	62	Batter Behind	80	30%
61%	56	2 Strikes	68	30%
37%	41	Batter Ahead	84	26%	⭐
17%	8	First Pitch	82	25%	⭐⭐
50%	47	3 Balls	76	7%
71%	77	Full Count	58	4%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

52%

Batter Behind

30%

61%

2 Strikes

30%

37%

Batter Ahead

26%

⭐

17%

First Pitch

25%

⭐⭐

50%

3 Balls

71%

Full Count