Matchup Machine

Martin Maldonado

Best 46% of matchups for Kyle Gibson

Kyle Gibson

Best 19% of matchups for M. Maldonado

Moderate advantage for Maldonado

Model Prediction
Prediction	3.8%	4.2%	13.3%	9.4%	26.8%
MLB (+/-)	+1.0	-0.1	-0.6	-0.3	+1.6
Maldonado	+0.3	+0.2	+2.3	-1.2	-8.6
Gibson	+0.4	-0.6	-2.2	+1.1	+7.2

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

3.8%

4.2%

13.3%

9.4%

26.8%

MLB (+/-)

+1.0

-0.1

-0.6

-0.3

+1.6

Maldonado

+0.3

+0.2

+2.3

-1.2

-8.6

Gibson

+0.4

-0.6

-2.2

+1.1

+7.2

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	9	8	3	0	0	3	0	1	.375
Expected From Contact →			2.25	0.01	0.41	1.84			.282

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2022-11-01	Groundout			11%	89%
2021-07-24	Single			7%	93%
2021-07-24	GIDP			31%	69%
2021-07-24	Walk
2021-06-15	Lineout		28%	3%	68%
2021-06-15	Single		11%	50%	40%
2021-05-16	Groundout			11%	89%
2021-05-16	Flyout				100%
2021-05-16	Single		2%	72%	27%
2020-09-16	Strikeout
2020-09-16	Strikeout
2020-09-16	Walk

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	52%	16	RHB vs RHP	34	51%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

52%

RHB vs RHP

51%

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
	50%	6	Fastball	17	56%
	34%	36	Breaking	55	27%
	6%	75	Offspeed	47	17%
			------------------
	47%	30	Sinker	32	26%
	56%	42	Slider	55	19%
	49%	36	Cutter	19	17%
⭐	52%	85	Changeup	40	17%
	52%	0	Four-Seam FB	31	12%
	47%	29	Curveball	48	8%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

50%

Fastball

56%

34%

Breaking

27%

Offspeed

17%

------------------

47%

Sinker

26%

56%

Slider

19%

49%

Cutter

17%

⭐

52%

Changeup

17%

52%

Four-Seam FB

12%

47%

Curveball

Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
66%	5	Away / Glove Side	51	14%
62%	38	Bottom of zone	19	14%
75%	56	Top of zone	19	9%
67%	32	In / Arm Side	25	7%
74%	26	Middle	22	5%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

66%

Away / Glove Side

14%

62%

Bottom of zone

14%

75%

Top of zone

67%

In / Arm Side

74%

Middle

Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
33%	38	Away / Glove Side	77	47%
37%	23	Below the zone	52	44%
48%	-12	Above the zone	29	16%
50%	35	In / Arm Side	6	8%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

33%

Away / Glove Side

47%

37%

Below the zone

44%

48%

-12

Above the zone

16%

50%

In / Arm Side

	Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
	58%	37	Batter Ahead	4	28%
	61%	19	2 Strikes	39	27%
	56%	-16	Batter Behind	59	27%
	36%	43	First Pitch	18	26%
	61%	37	3 Balls	6	8%
⭐	66%	69	Full Count	-12	5%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

58%

Batter Ahead

28%

61%

2 Strikes

27%

56%

-16

Batter Behind

27%

36%

First Pitch

26%

61%

3 Balls

⭐

66%

Full Count

-12