Last Updated: 01:18 AM
Ballpark Pal simulates every game thousands of times. Below is a summary of the sim outcomes related specifically to home runs.
Projected Home Run Totals
27.7 HRs over 11 games
| Park | Total | Away | HRs | Home | HRs | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Great American BP | 3.44 | MIN | 1.75 | CIN | 1.69 | ||
| Truist Park | 3.40 | PHI | 1.54 | ATL | 1.86 | ||
| Minute Maid Park | 3.17 | BAL | 1.54 | HOU | 1.63 | ||
| Globe Life Field | 2.63 | BOS | 1.19 | TEX | 1.45 | ||
| Dodger Stadium | 2.62 | DET | 1.26 | LAD | 1.37 | ||
| Petco Park | 2.51 | COL | 1.35 | SD | 1.16 | ||
| LoanDepot Park | 2.18 | NYM | 1.16 | MIA | 1.02 | ||
| Nationals Park | 2.14 | CHW | 1.19 | WAS | 0.95 | ||
| Oakland Coliseum | 1.98 | SEA | 1.24 | OAK | 0.74 | ||
| Busch Stadium | 1.87 | MIL | 1.03 | STL | 0.84 | ||
| Kauffman Stadium | 1.73 | CLE | 0.78 | KC | 0.95 |
Probability Distribution
| Park | Avg | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Great American BP | 3.44 | 4% | 11% | 18% | 22% | 17% | 27% | |
| Truist Park | 3.40 | 3% | 12% | 19% | 21% | 19% | 25% | |
| Minute Maid Park | 3.17 | 4% | 13% | 22% | 22% | 19% | 20% | |
| Globe Life Field | 2.63 | 7% | 19% | 25% | 21% | 16% | 12% | |
| Dodger Stadium | 2.62 | 7% | 19% | 25% | 21% | 15% | 13% | |
| Petco Park | 2.51 | 9% | 20% | 25% | 21% | 13% | 12% | |
| LoanDepot Park | 2.18 | 11% | 25% | 27% | 19% | 11% | 7% | |
| Nationals Park | 2.14 | 11% | 25% | 28% | 19% | 9% | 7% | |
| Oakland Coliseum | 1.98 | 15% | 27% | 26% | 17% | 9% | 5% | |
| Busch Stadium | 1.87 | 16% | 29% | 25% | 17% | 9% | 4% | |
| Kauffman Stadium | 1.73 | 18% | 30% | 28% | 14% | 6% | 4% |
Top 25 Most Likely Hitters